Some Question Whether Vikings Got Enough Guys With Good Bubble

As the Minnesota Vikings' personnel people gathered to consider their 2007 draft board, members of the draft committee undoubtedly raised several key concerns. But while the question of whether to take Brady Quinn or Adrian Peterson might have been raised in the dark recesses of the far reaches of the Vikings' draft room, unquestionably there was no bigger concern among Vikings' draft committee members than whether the players on the Vikings' big board had good bubble.

As the draft wore on through far too many hours on day one and then for far too many hours on day two, through several hundred picks of which only a handful are likely ever to start in the NFL, the Vikings' concerns over the bubble undoubtedly grew, with little information available on the bubble of some of the players from which they would have to select.

After the Vikings selected Adrian Peterson, a player with an excellent bubble, and Sidney Rice, a player with an adequate bubble, they drafted several players in succession about whose bubble little was known within NFL scouting circles.

Yes, the Vikings had the beginnings of a scouting report on their remaining picks, but they didn't know everything. And they certainly did not know about the bubble.

They knew, for example, that scouts considered former Fresno State cornerback Marcus McCauley to be a player in need of improvement to play at the NFL level. Scouts touted McCauley as "a player who regressed as a collegiate player in 2006."

They knew, as well, that scouts considered former Texas defensive end Brian Robison a blue-collar player. Robison, who played in twelve of Texas' thirteen games in 2006, started nine. Scouts view Robison as a special teams player if he makes it in the NFL.

The Vikings also learned something about former East Carolina wide receiver Aundrae Allison, a second-team all-conference selection in conference USA in 2006 after starting eleven of East Carolina's twelve games and scoring four touchdowns. Scouts consider Allison to be "not very strong" and "not a good route runner."

With respect to former Oklahoma outside linebacker Rufus Alexander, the Vikings learned that Alexander was inexplicably available in the sixth round in a draft laden with junk after rounds one and two. Alexander was defensive player of the year in the Big Twelve in 2006, amassing 118 tackles. Vikings' head of pro personnel, Rick Spielman, immediately labeled Alexander a "guy on the come."

Of Coastal Carolina quarterback Tyler Thigpen and Florida International wide receiver Chandler Williams, the Vikings learned that some players actually believe that they should not have been taken in the draft. Both Thigpen and Williams expressed excitement that the Vikings even knew who they were. Scouts felt similarly, viewing Williams as a low risk, low reward type player with a low ceiling and having not much of anything to say about the I-AA Thigpen.

Ultimately, the scouts unquestionably helped the Vikings select in round one the player that everyone rated as the best available player, then taking a bunch of wide receivers that unquestionably could make any team's practice squad. But what the Vikings really want to know about their draft picks in 2007, and what they will not know until they bring the players into rookie camp, is whether they have good bubble. If they do have good bubble, half the battle is won. If not, well, ask Ryan Hoag.

Up Next: Desicating the draft.

Vikings' Draft

With their first pick in day one of the 2007 NFL draft, the Minnesota Vikings selected Oklahoma running back Adrian Peterson. The move came one pick after Washington selected the player many expected the Vikings to select with their pick, LSU safety LaRon Landry. By selecting Peterson, the Vikings substantially upgraded their running back position from one featuring a hard-working Chester Taylor to one capable of going to a two-back system, despite the woes of the right side of the offensive line.

The question is whether Vikings' head coach Brad Childress will make use of Peterson's considerable talents--assuming Peterson is able to play. Peterson offers a big target out of the backfield and could be a passing target in an offense that throws the ball. The problem, of course, is that the Vikings prefer to run unless forced to pass. If Childress can get his head around a vertical game on first and second downs, Peterson could become more than a mere rushing back and emerge as the face of the Vikings' offense.

The curiousity is that, as good as Peterson portends to be, Childress signed off on this pick. Seemingly entrenched in his extremely short- to negative-gain offensive philosophy that features a bastardized version of the West Coast system, Childress would seem to have no tolerance for a running back whose mold falls outside the traditional West Coast offense back mold. Unlike players such as Roger Craig and Marshall Faulk, Peterson seems better suited to working in crowds rather than squeezing through non-holes to daylight. Perhaps, that's more a function of how Peterson was used at Oklahoma and his large frame than it is a function of ability. Time will tell.

Spielman Versus Childress

After the draft, Vikings' head of pro personnel Rick Spielman appeared on ESPN radio to offer his thoughts on the Vikings' number one pick. More forthcoming than the autistic Childress who, for no apparent reason, mechanically refused to answer any questions regarding Peterson's injury, Spielman suggested both that the Vikings were long high on Peterson and that Peterson was not the Vikings' first choice from among the players that the Vikings had expected to select from before the draft began.

While noting the Vikings' on-going interest in Peterson and stating that the team had had Peterson come to Minnesota so that team doctors could inspect the running back's shoulder injury, Spielman strongly hinted that Landry was the Vikings' primary target in the draft. Despite his early 80s, Don Johnson look, Spielman as a personality is a refreshing relief from the non-personality, automoton that is Childress.

Though Spielman wins plaudits for his relative candor, the jury remains out on whether the Vikings did enough on day one of the draft to improve on the team's weaknesses. Entering the draft, the Vikings were in need of one or two offensive linemen, one or more receivers, a cornerback, and a defensive end.

In round two, the Vikings picked up 6'3", 200 pound South Carolina wide receiver Sidney Rice. The Vikings already have taken pains to note that Rice is a more polished receiver than was fellow South Carolina wide receiver Troy Williamson. The numbers might bear out that contention. And they might not.

In 2005, Rice caught 70 passes for 1,143 yards and thirteen touchdowns in twelve games. Last season, Rice caught 72 passes for 1,090 yards and ten touchdowns. In his final season at South Carolina, Williamson caught 43 passes for 835 yards and 7 touchdowns.

Raw reception totals appear to favor Rice over Williamson, until one recalls that Williamson played for the stodgy Lou Holtz while Rice played in the wide-open offense of Steve Spurrier. But even comparing numbers suggests that there is not much quantitative separation between Williamson and Rice as it would appear at first blush. In fact, Williamson might even have the edge in raw numbers, boasting a 19.4 yards-per-catch average to Rice's 15.1 yards-per-catch average in 2006.

While the numbers don't tell us how well a player will adapt to the NFL, Vikings' fans ought to be cautioned about one other nit-picky detail about Rice. Despite the front office's purported commitment to character players, the Vikings, in Rice, picked up what more than one scouting agency referred to as an "immature player." That seems like an odd character decision for a team that could have selected either of USC's starting wide-receivers rather than Rice.

Final Nugget

To give you an indication of how much the wonks at ESPN really know about any team's needs in the draft, consider the network's comments regarding the Vikings' selection of Adrian Peterson. While complimenting the Vikings selection of the best player available, ESPN suggested that the Vikings might have been unwise to overlook "more pressing needs at defensive end and running back."

It might have been a typo--in which case one wonders what other type of "back" ESPN had in mind. Or, it might just have been what it is--more of the mailing it in type of garbage for which ESPN and most others covering anything are increasingly known for.

Up Next: The Rest of the Rest. Plus, outside views of the Vikings' draft and how other NFC North teams fared.